Immigration Reform Coming?
We are close to an immigration reform, but know not how close we are. Typical of this sentiment, Reform proponents produce the posted video, a great musical appeals. Softer melody makes the tone of a harsh message smooth. The central message is, “To Hell with the North (the United States of America),” but a strong, resonant feminine voice magically ameliorates the blunt and bleak undertone. The video, reported by New York Times on March 24, 2015, is meant to be a reminder that no reform has been delivered.
2015 or 2016, nonetheless, may be the year of change. For now, most American voters at least understand that the STEM jobs cannot be filled without high-skilled immigrants. Thanks to these sensible voters, most Presidential candidates have expressed support for high-skilled immigrants. This is a good sign, especially so among Republican candidates. Governor Jeb Bush have now been willing to take sensible stance on immigration issues. To him, it is politically beneficial to treat immigration is as an economic rather than a national security issue.
Given the politics, the expansion of high-skilled immigrant quota may be as far as the imminent reform will go. Among the general public, the rational understanding, that economic growth requires diverse talents beyond the supply of our land, has not expanded to low-skilled and undocumented immigrants. Moreover, there is compelling argument that welfare reform must be enacted in sync with immigration reform. Human error of both proponents and opponents of the reform still remain. The delivery speed of long-term immigration benefits tend to be overestimated, while the short-term cost of immigration often has been slightly underestimated. This slight underestimation is the rock that sinks many attempts for immigration reforms. So long as this worry of short-term cost is not appeased, no substantial reform will pass.
This election is a great opportunity for Republican party. Democratic party will gain relatively little by supporting immigration reform. On the contrary, the party of Lincoln has all the reasons to help out self-helping immigrants who love not their homeland. By supporting high-skilled immigrants and entrepreneurs, Republicans could also disabuse past stereotype of conniving the rich. If it had been Republicans’ strategies to kill immigration reform to hurt the Democratic party, it is time to engineer reforms beneficial for Republicans. All stakes are on the line. Hopefully, Republicans voters will know why they vote.